Famous technical analyst Peter Brandt suggested that Bitcoin could fall by 75 %again as in 2022. However, the leading crypto analysts say that the macroeconomic and sectoral conditions we are in today are completely different from the 2021–2022 cycle.

“Nothing is impossible, but for now it seems very low possibility,” says swyftx chief analyst Pav Hundal.

📊 What does the 2022 scenario mean?

Peter Brandt asked in his sharing on X:

“Is Bitcoin again to follow the 2022 scenario and prepare for a 75 %correction?

Brandt made this interpretation based on Bitcoin’s 2021 summit from $ 69,000 to $ 16.195 in November 2022. If a similar collapse repeats from today’s level, the price of BTC can decrease to approximately $ 26,000.

However, this comparison is considered by many experts as too superficial and non -context.

🧠 Comments of Analysts: “Today is not 2022”

📌 Pav Hundal (swyftx):

“Macro dynamics have changed completely. In 2022, there were plenty of money after COVID, inflationist prints and the Fed had sudden tightening steps. Now we are at the end of this phase.”

📌 Andy Edstrom (Author & Analyst):

Orum I understand Brandt’s technical view, but this time a 75 %correction is a very distant possibility. In 2021, the FTX crisis, the Fed’s hard stance and the big decreases. Today, those conditions did not occur. ”

📌 Colin Talks Crypto (Commentator):

“Now, the market does not seem to have reached the hill. Whenever the summit comes, everyone will be extremely excited. Nobody is enthusiastic right now. This is not the hill.”

🧮 Basic Differences: 2022 vs 2025

2022 vs 2025: Bitcoin market comparison

FED policy

2022: Hard interest hikes

2025: Potential relaxation signals

Macroeconomic environment

2022: Abundant money and inflation pressure after COVID

2025: gradual recovery and more balanced liquidity

Stock market collapse (FTX)

2022: Loss of confidence and intensive panic sales

2025: stronger regulation and relatively safe infrastructure

Corporate participation

2022: Uncertain and limited corporate interest

2025: Increased investment entry with ETFs

Market psychology

2022: Excessive sales and panic environment

2025: Consolidation and long -term investment -oriented approach

🧨 Saylor: “Winter is over. The next stop $ 1 million”

Microstrategy co -founder Michael Saylor, rejecting such decrease predictions, insisting that Bitcoin’s long -term fate is upward:

“Bitcoin either goes to zero or for $ 1 million. Now that winter is left behind.”

📌 Summary: Correction may be, but 75 %collapse is not expected

Peter Brandt drew attention to the possibility of a 75 %decrease similar to the 2022 model

Most analysts do not agree with this view; Different macroeconomics and regulation environment are emphasized

Although the technical indicators signal a correction, today’s market dynamics are far from 2022.

Experts think that the BTC has not yet reached its peak and that its rise potential continues.